The third quarter of 2024 brought notable shifts in global financial markets, with major central banks easing policies as inflation moderated. In the US, the Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 basis points to move closer to a neutral stance, aiming to manage inflation without triggering a recession. The European Central Bank also reduced rates by 25 basis points in September, its second cut this year, supported by slowing inflation in the Eurozone.
Equity markets showed resilience, recovering after initial volatility to end the quarter positively, largely driven by the Fed’s rate cut and renewed investor confidence. Chinese equities surged over 20% in the final week of September, supported by a new stimulus package, while bond markets remained volatile yet trended downward since mid-year highs.
On inflation, the US PCE index increased by 2.2% year-over-year in August, reinforcing confidence in the Fed’s 2% target. Euro area inflation slowed to 1.8% in September, its first drop below the ECB’s target since 2021, further encouraging expectations for rate cuts.
The Caixa 2 F.P. Pension Fund continued its strong performance, achieving a year-to-date return of +9.5% through the end of September 2024. The fund surpassed its investment target (Euribor 3 months + 3.5% annualized over 5 years), with an annualized return of 5.5% over this period, exceeding the 4.6% target by 90 basis points and outpacing inflation, recorded at 3.5% for the period. Positive returns were mainly driven by equities, thanks to a change in the global equities’ portfolio, which is now more concentrated and excludes thematic global equities. Meanwhile, the private markets portfolio and hedge funds did not generate the expected returns but remain solid investments.
Relative to Spanish Employment Tax Qualified Pension Funds, Pensions Caixa 2, F.P. remains highly competitive, ranking in the top 5% over 5 and 10 years, and in the top 25% over 1 and 3 years as of June 2024.
In summary, Pensions Caixa 2, F.P. has delivered solid results in Q3, meeting its performance objectives and positioning itself as an attractive investment option for participants.